Radford
W-L: ( 4-14) PR = 71.3320Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 7-12 221 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 7-17 225 A Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 4-17 301 A Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 10-11 304 A Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 6-15 310 H Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 6-17 314 H Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 15-11 318 A Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 8-17 322 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 15-16 328 A Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 9-17 401 H Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 10-15 404 A Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 13-10 408 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 2-19 411 H Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 10- 6 418 H Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 0-24 422 A Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 9- 8 425 H Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 13-15 428 A Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 5-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A George Mason 7-12 -5 -6 1.01
221 H George Washington 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.79
225 A Akron 4-17 -13 -10 - -2.57
301 A Howard (DC) 10-11 -1 2 - -3.20
304 A Mount St Marys 6-15 -9 -12 + 2.68
310 H Merrimack 6-17 -11 -2 --- -9.36
314 H Butler 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.36
318 A Campbell 8-17 -9 -12 + 2.77
322 H Monmouth (NJ) 15-16 -1 -7 +++ 6.10
328 A Furman 9-17 -8 -7 -0.95
401 H Winthrop 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.55
404 A Presbyterian 13-10 3 -1 + 3.82
408 A High Point 2-19 -17 -12 - -2.05
411 H Gardner Webb 10- 6 4 2 + 2.43
418 H Mercer 0-24 -24 -13 -1.22
422 A Longwood 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.88
425 H Wofford 13-15 -2 -4 1.60
428 A Furman 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.95
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Merrimack 6-17 -11 -2 --- -9.36 221 H George Washington 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.79 225 A Akron 4-17 -13 -10 - -2.57 301 A Howard (DC) 10-11 -1 2 - -3.20 401 H Winthrop 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.55 408 A High Point 2-19 -17 -12 - -2.05 428 A Furman 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.95 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Monmouth (NJ) 15-16 -1 -7 +++ 6.10 314 H Butler 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.36 304 A Mount St Marys 6-15 -9 -12 + 2.68 318 A Campbell 8-17 -9 -12 + 2.77 404 A Presbyterian 13-10 3 -1 + 3.82 411 H Gardner Webb 10- 6 4 2 + 2.43 422 A Longwood 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.88 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 7-12 -23.93 16.24 1.37 0.96 -10.86
3 H George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 7-17 -19.99 20.17 -1.37 0.96 -10.28
3 A Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 4-17 -19.51 20.66 1.37 0.96 -8.73
3 A Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 10-11 -32.13 8.03 1.37 0.96 -14.81
3 A Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 6-15 -18.26 21.91 1.37 0.96 -8.13
3 H Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 6-17 -25.56 14.60 -1.37 0.96 -12.96
3 H Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 15-11 -25.84 14.33 -1.37 0.96 24.95
3 A Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 8-17 -18.17 22.00 1.37 0.96 -8.08
3 H Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 15-16 -20.10 20.06 -1.37 0.96 -10.33
3 A Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 9-17 -22.89 17.28 1.37 0.96 -10.35
3 H Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 10-15 -25.75 14.42 -1.37 0.96 -13.05
3 A Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 13-10 -29.12 11.05 1.37 0.96 23.90
3 A High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 2-19 -17.98 22.19 1.37 0.96 -8.00
3 H Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 10- 6 -28.77 11.40 -1.37 0.96 19.31
3 H Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 0-24 -14.42 25.75 -1.37 0.96 -7.60
3 A Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 9- 8 -28.06 12.11 1.37 0.96 25.94
3 H Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 13-15 -23.60 16.57 -1.37 0.96 -12.01
3 A Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 5-15 -22.89 17.28 1.37 0.96 -10.35
------
-51.44
|
winning pts = 94.0950 losing points = -145.5341
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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